Inflation is a sustained increase in the general price level over time. This results in higher costs of living and a decrease in the purchasing power of money. Inflation is usually expressed as a percentage increase in a price index, such as the Consumer Price Index (CPI) or the Producer Price Index (PPI).
Deflation is the opposite of inflation. It occurs when the average price level in the economy falls, resulting in a negative inflation rate. During deflation, the cost of living decreases, and the purchasing power of money increases. Deflation can have negative effects on economic growth and employment.
Disinflation is a decrease in the rate of inflation. It means that prices are still rising, but at a slower rate than before. Disinflation implies that goods and services are becoming relatively cheaper compared to a previous period. For example, if the inflation rate falls from 4% to 2%, there is disinflation. If the price level actually decreases (a negative inflation rate), it is considered deflation.
Hyperinflation is an extreme form of inflation characterized by a very high and accelerating rate of inflation. Hyperinflation can lead to a loss of confidence in a country's currency, erode savings, and disrupt economic stability.
Macroeconomic Policy Objective of Low Inflation: Many countries, including the UK, set an inflation target as part of their macroeconomic policy. The UK government's inflation target is typically 2%, as measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI). The goal of this target is to achieve price stability, which benefits both firms and consumers. Stable prices help businesses make long-term decisions, provide consumers with greater purchasing power, and contribute to economic stability. If inflation deviates by more than 1% from the target, the Governor of the Bank of England is required to write a letter to the Chancellor of the Exchequer, explaining the reasons for the deviation and the intended actions to address it.
Real and Nominal Values: Real values are adjusted for inflation, meaning they reflect the actual purchasing power of money. Nominal values are not adjusted for inflation and represent the current market prices. For example, if the nominal price of a product, like bread, increases over time, the real cost of the product may actually fall when accounting for inflation. Real values are important for making accurate comparisons over time, while nominal values show the current market prices without considering inflation's impact.
The Consumer Prices Index (CPI) is used to calculate the inflation rate in the UK. Here are the key points regarding how CPI is used for measuring inflation:
The UK government sets a macroeconomic objective for CPI inflation to be at 2% ± 1%. This target is aimed at maintaining price stability in the economy.
Limitations of CPI When Measuring Inflation:
Retail Price Index (RPI):